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Business



Liquafaction Corporation Business Section - This web page only contains information on Corn/Barley based ethanol for information on Cellulosic Ethanol processing please contact Mark Mollo (Liquafaction Corporation) or Dave Hughes (New Age Energy Corporation).

We've included a corporate overview, business plan, a Pro Forma Analysis tool, marketing plan, and an independent appraisal of the Moses Lake Ethanol Project.

 

Executive Overview

The following link provides information about our Executive Overview.

Executive Overview

 

Business Plan

The following link provides information about our Business Plan.

Business Plan

Risk Analysis

The following link provides information about the risks involved in this business. There are a lot of things you probably don't know about the ethanol business and you will find this worth reading.

Risk Analaysis

 

Pro Forma Income Analysis

Much of the analysis in this business plan is based from market prices that set the spot market price of the commodities used and sold from this plant. These numbers are critical to analysis of the profitability of this facility. Since the market rates change daily the Pro Forma of the plant will change with these market changes. The analysis in most of the reports use the spot market prices set on 8/28/07.

The following Microsoft Excel spreadsheet will enable you to modify the pricing to see how changes in prices affect the income projections for this facility: 

Pro Forma Analysis Spreadsheet

The local electric rates and gas distribution charges (not including the actual gas purchase price) do not change daily.  The following links will allow you to get the current spot market prices for Nebraska Corn, WA State Ethanol Rack Price, Moses Lake DDG price, Natural Gas Pricing.  The spreadsheet has a highlighted area for entering these numbers.  Other changes can be made to the spreadsheet but be careful not to change cells that have equations because this can cause a faulty analysis.

 

Marketing Plan

The first part of the marketing plan is getting corn (or barley) to our plant. With an elevator capable of unloading a train of 110 cars filled with grain in 10 hours, our plant will do this quite efficiently. Marketing ethanol is fairly easy. Washington State has a mandate that gasoline sold in Washington State be 2% ethanol by December 1, 2008, and if sufficient production in state is available, as much as 10% of gasoline sold in state be ethanol.

Our other product, distiller's grains, is used as feed for animals that can no longer afford to be fed the corn that we use for ethanol. From our marketing plan, much of this will be sold as food for cattle

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All these things are discussed in more detail in our marketing plan: Marketing plan for Moses Lake Ethanol Plant

 

Appraisal

A prospective investor was kind enough to provide us with a professional appraisal of our ethanol plant by The Mentor Group. As of April 13, 2007, their number was $15,975,000 with an "orderly liquidation" value of $10,385,000. Since that time, equipment has continued to pour into Moses Lake, further arrangements have been settled with regard to things like water rights and permits, and a new appraisal would be appropriately higher. The appraisal goes on to give a plant value of $30,415,000 at 12 million gallons per year, and $75 million at 36 million gallons per year:

Market Value In Use
Seventy Five Million Dollars
$75,000,000

With the present high cost of fuel, reasonable price of corn, and very limited number of companies that are capable of building ethanol plants, ethanol plants currently sell for $4 per gallon. This would give a value for a 36 million gallon plant of about $144 million.

Appraisal Documentation

The appraisal documentation contains proprietary information.  Please contact Mark Mollo for the process of obtaining a copy of the actual appraisal document.